UC Berkeley Economist Predicts ‘As Many As 1 in 5 U.S. Hotels May Default’
Wednesday, October 7th, 2009Good article today in the LA Times titled ‘Hotel defaults, foreclosures rise in California’. The article says that more than 300 hotels in California were in foreclosure or default as of September 30th, 2009. In Southern California alone, there are 140 hotels in default or foreclosure. The main problem is that many hotel loans were expected to be repaid within 5 or 10 years and were financed at the peak of the market. The author also blames loose lending and irrantional exuberance.
Smith Travel Research is predicting no significant improvement for the hotel industry until 2011 at the earliest.

Our take: This story has been picked up by many news outlets and is being used to show how badly hotels are hurting. The main problem in that area is the 500 new hotel rooms that opened recently. We think the hotel is just being smart and planning ahead. Even in good times, many hotels close floors or even entire towers for weeks or months at a time. Closing floors can save a lot of money on cleaning and energy costs if the demand for the rooms is not there. 
In a new article posted on the 
